论文标题
Wasserstein耦合粒子过滤器进行多级估计
A Wasserstein Coupled Particle Filter for Multilevel Estimation
论文作者
论文摘要
在本文中,我们考虑了部分观察到的扩散的过滤问题,该问题在离散时间定期观察到。我们关心的是,如果不适当的形式可用过渡密度,则必须诉诸扩散过程的时间消化。在这种情况下,必须诉诸高级数值算法,例如粒子过滤器,以始终如一地估计过滤器。众所周知,可以通过考虑减少计算工作以达到给定的平方误差(MSE)的意义,可以考虑离散层和多级蒙特卡洛(MLMC)方法来增强粒子过滤器。文献中已经提出了多种多层粒子过滤器(MLPF),例如在Jasra等人,Siam J,Numer中。肛门,55,3068--3096。在这里,我们介绍了一种新的替代方案,该替代方案涉及基于最佳Wasserstein耦合的重新采样步骤。我们证明了新方法的中心限制定理(CLT)。在考虑渐近差异时,我们确定在某些情况下,与上述论文中Jasra等人的方法相比,在计算努力方面的方法是减少的,以实现给定的MSE。这些发现在数值示例中得到了证实。我们还考虑使用不稳定的动力学过滤扩散。我们从经验上表明,在这种情况下,似乎需要改变措施技术来维持我们的发现。
In this paper, we consider the filtering problem for partially observed diffusions, which are regularly observed at discrete times. We are concerned with the case when one must resort to time-discretization of the diffusion process if the transition density is not available in an appropriate form. In such cases, one must resort to advanced numerical algorithms such as particle filters to consistently estimate the filter. It is also well known that the particle filter can be enhanced by considering hierarchies of discretizations and the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method, in the sense of reducing the computational effort to achieve a given mean square error (MSE). A variety of multilevel particle filters (MLPF) have been suggested in the literature, e.g., in Jasra et al., SIAM J, Numer. Anal., 55, 3068--3096. Here we introduce a new alternative that involves a resampling step based on the optimal Wasserstein coupling. We prove a central limit theorem (CLT) for the new method. On considering the asymptotic variance, we establish that in some scenarios, there is a reduction, relative to the approach in the aforementioned paper by Jasra et al., in computational effort to achieve a given MSE. These findings are confirmed in numerical examples. We also consider filtering diffusions with unstable dynamics; we empirically show that in such cases a change of measure technique seems to be required to maintain our findings.