论文标题

低碳能量技术的科学兴起

The rise of science in low-carbon energy technologies

论文作者

Hötte, Kerstin, Pichler, Anton, Lafond, François

论文摘要

成功打击气候变化将需要在低碳能源技术(LCETS)中进行大量技术改进,但是设计有效的R \&D预算分配需要更好地了解LCET如何依赖科学知识。使用涵盖过去两个世纪中它们引用的几乎所有美国专利和科学文章的数据,我们描述了十个关键LCET的知识库的演变,并展示了技术相互依存的时间如何随着时间而变化。低碳能源创新的组成随着时间的流逝而变化,从19世纪和20世纪初的水力和风能转变为第二次世界大战后的核裂变,最近再到太阳能PV并重返风。近年来,太阳能光伏,核融合和生物燃料(包括废物的能源)的引文中有35-65%针对科学论文,而风,太阳能热,水力,地热和核裂变的比率小于10 \%。随着时间的流逝,所有技术类型的专利份额和对科学论文的引用一直在增加。对每个LCET的科学知识基础的分析揭示了三个相当分开的集群,其中包括核能技术,生物燃料和废物以及所有其他LCET。我们对每个LCET知识要求的详细描述有助于设计目标创新政策。

Successfully combating climate change will require substantial technological improvements in Low-Carbon Energy Technologies (LCETs), but designing efficient allocation of R\&D budgets requires a better understanding of how LCETs rely on scientific knowledge. Using data covering almost all US patents and scientific articles that are cited by them over the past two centuries, we describe the evolution of knowledge bases of ten key LCETs and show how technological interdependencies have changed over time. The composition of low-carbon energy innovations shifted over time, from Hydro and Wind energy in the 19th and early 20th century, to Nuclear fission after World War II, and more recently to Solar PV and back to Wind. In recent years, Solar PV, Nuclear fusion and Biofuels (including energy from waste) have 35-65\% of their citations directed toward scientific papers, while this ratio is less than 10\% for Wind, Solar thermal, Hydro, Geothermal, and Nuclear fission. Over time, the share of patents citing science and the share of citations that are to scientific papers has been increasing for all technology types. The analysis of the scientific knowledge base of each LCET reveals three fairly separate clusters, with nuclear energy technologies, Biofuels and Waste, and all the other LCETs. Our detailed description of knowledge requirements for each LCET helps to design of targeted innovation policies.

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