论文标题

为什么星期一永远不会赢 - 秘书问题的例子

Why Monday never wins -- An Example of the Secretary Problem

论文作者

Blum, Peter, Wenskat, Marc

论文摘要

我们分析了德国电视节目“ Das Perfekte Dinner”的获胜统计数据,这是一场参赛者互相评估的比赛。我们对节目的原始版本和名人版进行了比较,并进行了重新缩放,以减少主观分级的影响。我们发现,获胜率对表演的位置有很强的依赖性,不仅是第一个,而且对于所有候选人。此外,我们得出的结论是,在参赛者已经煮熟之后,给出积分存在积极的偏见。与更简单的优化策略(所谓的秘书问题)的比较显示了很多相似之处。

We analyzed the winning statistics of the German TV show 'Das Perfekte Dinner', a competition where the contestants rate each other. We did a comparison of the original and the celebrity version of the show and also implemented a rescaling of the points to reduce the influences of subjective grading. We found that there is a strong dependency of the winning rate on the position of performing, not only for the first, but for all candidates. Furthermore, we concluded that there is a positive bias in giving points, after the contestants have already cooked. The comparison with a simpler optimizing strategy, the so called secretary problem, showed a lot of similarities.

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