论文标题
使用频道网络传感器数据的预测性洪水警告和情况意识的混合深度学习模型数据
A Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Predictive Flood Warning and Situation Awareness using Channel Network Sensors Data
论文作者
论文摘要
这项研究的目的是创建和测试混合深度学习模型,FastGrnn-FCN(快速,准确,稳定,稳定和微小的封闭式复发性神经网络 - 卷积网络),用于使用通道网络传感器数据的城市洪水预测和情况意识。该研究将德克萨斯州哈里斯县作为测试床,并从三个历史洪水事件(例如,2016年税日洪水,2016年阵亡将士纪念日洪水和2017年Harvey Harvey Flood)中获得了渠道传感器数据,用于培训和验证混合深度学习模型。洪水数据分为多元时间序列,并用作模型输入。每个输入都包含九个变量,包括在通道网络中研究的通道传感器及其前身和后继传感器的信息。 Precision-Recall曲线和F-Measure用于识别最佳模型参数集。重量为1,临界阈值为0.59的最佳模型是根据检查不同权重和阈值的一百次迭代而获得的。测试准确性和F量最终分别达到97.8%和0.792。然后,测试了该模型在预测休斯顿2019年伊梅尔达洪水方面的测试,结果表明与经验洪水相匹配。结果表明,该模型可以准确预测时空的洪水繁殖和衰退,并为应急响应官员提供了预测性洪水警告工具,以优先考虑洪水响应和资源分配策略。
The objective of this study is to create and test a hybrid deep learning model, FastGRNN-FCN (Fast, Accurate, Stable and Tiny Gated Recurrent Neural Network-Fully Convolutional Network), for urban flood prediction and situation awareness using channel network sensors data. The study used Harris County, Texas as the testbed, and obtained channel sensor data from three historical flood events (e.g., 2016 Tax Day Flood, 2016 Memorial Day flood, and 2017 Hurricane Harvey Flood) for training and validating the hybrid deep learning model. The flood data are divided into a multivariate time series and used as the model input. Each input comprises nine variables, including information of the studied channel sensor and its predecessor and successor sensors in the channel network. Precision-recall curve and F-measure are used to identify the optimal set of model parameters. The optimal model with a weight of 1 and a critical threshold of 0.59 are obtained through one hundred iterations based on examining different weights and thresholds. The test accuracy and F-measure eventually reach 97.8% and 0.792, respectively. The model is then tested in predicting the 2019 Imelda flood in Houston and the results show an excellent match with the empirical flood. The results show that the model enables accurate prediction of the spatial-temporal flood propagation and recession and provides emergency response officials with a predictive flood warning tool for prioritizing the flood response and resource allocation strategies.