论文标题

歧视观察研究的因果框架

A Causal Framework for Observational Studies of Discrimination

论文作者

Gaebler, Johann, Cai, William, Basse, Guillaume, Shroff, Ravi, Goel, Sharad, Hill, Jennifer

论文摘要

在歧视研究中,研究人员经常寻求估计种族或性别对结果的因果影响。例如,在刑事司法背景下,有人可能会问,如果他们是另一个种族,那么被捕的个人是否会被指控或定罪。早就知道,这种反事实问题面临与省略可变偏见有关的挑战,以及与在很大程度上不变特征的因果估计的定义相关的概念挑战。曾经是最近辩论的主题的另一个问题是治疗后的偏见:许多关于显然中间结果的歧视条件的研究,例如被捕,本身可能是歧视的产物,可能损坏统计估计。但是,有理由保持乐观。通过仔细定义估计和考虑事件的确切时机,我们表明,可以在歧视研究中的主要因果量,可以在某些观察环境中大致存在的无知条件下估算。我们通过分析在美国一个大县的检察官办公室的模拟数据和收费决定来说明这些想法。

In studies of discrimination, researchers often seek to estimate a causal effect of race or gender on outcomes. For example, in the criminal justice context, one might ask whether arrested individuals would have been subsequently charged or convicted had they been a different race. It has long been known that such counterfactual questions face measurement challenges related to omitted-variable bias, and conceptual challenges related to the definition of causal estimands for largely immutable characteristics. Another concern, which has been the subject of recent debates, is post-treatment bias: many studies of discrimination condition on apparently intermediate outcomes, like being arrested, that themselves may be the product of discrimination, potentially corrupting statistical estimates. There is, however, reason to be optimistic. By carefully defining the estimand -- and by considering the precise timing of events -- we show that a primary causal quantity of interest in discrimination studies can be estimated under an ignorability condition that may hold approximately in some observational settings. We illustrate these ideas by analyzing both simulated data and the charging decisions of a prosecutor's office in a large county in the United States.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源