论文标题

递归期刊影响因素的置信区间

Confidence Intervals for Recursive Journal Impact Factors

论文作者

Konig, Johannes, Stern, David I., Tol, Richard S. J.

论文摘要

我们计算递归影响因素的置信区间,这些置信区间考虑到某些引用比其他引用更具享有盛名的人,以及期刊的相关等级,将方法应用于经济期刊的种群。 《经济学季刊》显然是影响最大的期刊,其等级的置信区间仅包括一个。基于简单的引导程序,其余的Top5期刊与《金融杂志》一起排在前6名,而Xie等人。 (2009)和Mogstad等。 (2022)方法通常扩大估计的置信区间,特别是对于中排期期刊。所有方法都同意,期刊质量上最明显的差异实际上是微不足道的。

We compute confidence intervals for recursive impact factors, that take into account that some citations are more prestigious than others, as well as for the associated ranks of journals, applying the methods to the population of economics journals. The Quarterly Journal of Economics is clearly the journal with greatest impact, the confidence interval for its rank only includes one. Based on the simple bootstrap, the remainder of the Top5 journals are in the top 6 together with the Journal of Finance, while the Xie et al. (2009), and Mogstad et al. (2022) methods generally broaden estimated confidence intervals, particularly for mid-ranking journals. All methods agree that most apparent differences in journal quality are, in fact, mostly insignificant.

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