论文标题
Stackelberg风险偏好设计
Stackelberg Risk Preference Design
论文作者
论文摘要
风险度量通常用于捕获决策者(DMS)的风险偏好。当DMS的风险偏好受到有关不确定性信息的可用性影响时,DMS的决定可以被轻推或操纵。这项工作提出了Stackelberg风险偏好设计(Stripe)问题,以捕捉设计师影响DMS风险偏好的动力。条纹由两个级别组成。在较低级别的人群中,被称为追随者的单个DMS根据其风险偏好类型对不确定性做出反应。在高层,领导者会影响诱导目标决策的类型的分布,并引导追随者对其的偏好。我们的分析集中在近似stackelberg平衡的解决方案概念上,该平衡产生了玩家的次优行为。我们显示了近似Stackelberg平衡的存在。原始风险感知差距定义为原始类型和目标类型分布之间的Wasserstein距离,对于估计最佳设计成本很重要。我们将领导者对成本的最佳折衷与她的歧义性公差联系起来,从而利用较低级别解决方案映射的Lipschitzian特性的追随者的大概解决方案。为了获得Stackelberg均衡,我们使用法律不变相干风险度量的光谱表示将条纹重新将单级优化问题重新制定为单层优化问题。我们创建了一种数据驱动的计算方法,并研究其性能保证。我们将条纹应用于近似激励兼容性下的合同设计问题。此外,我们将条纹与元学习问题联系起来,并得出元参数的适应性绩效估计。
Risk measures are commonly used to capture the risk preferences of decision-makers (DMs). The decisions of DMs can be nudged or manipulated when their risk preferences are influenced by factors such as the availability of information about the uncertainties. This work proposes a Stackelberg risk preference design (STRIPE) problem to capture a designer's incentive to influence DMs' risk preferences. STRIPE consists of two levels. In the lower level, individual DMs in a population, known as the followers, respond to uncertainties according to their risk preference types. In the upper level, the leader influences the distribution of the types to induce targeted decisions and steers the follower's preferences to it. Our analysis centers around the solution concept of approximate Stackelberg equilibrium that yields suboptimal behaviors of the players. We show the existence of the approximate Stackelberg equilibrium. The primitive risk perception gap, defined as the Wasserstein distance between the original and the target type distributions, is important in estimating the optimal design cost. We connect the leader's optimality compromise on the cost with her ambiguity tolerance on the follower's approximate solutions leveraging Lipschitzian properties of the lower level solution mapping. To obtain the Stackelberg equilibrium, we reformulate STRIPE into a single-level optimization problem using the spectral representations of law-invariant coherent risk measures. We create a data-driven approach for computation and study its performance guarantees. We apply STRIPE to contract design problems under approximate incentive compatibility. Moreover, we connect STRIPE with meta-learning problems and derive adaptation performance estimates of the meta-parameters.