论文标题
深度卷积体系结构,以针对时间依赖的流动问题进行外推预测
Deep Convolutional Architectures for Extrapolative Forecast in Time-dependent Flow Problems
论文作者
论文摘要
动态受部分微分方程(PDE)控制的物理系统在从工程设计到天气预报的许多领域中找到应用。从此类PDE中获取解决方案的过程对于大规模和参数化问题的计算昂贵。在这项工作中,使用LSTM和TCN等时间表预测开发的深度学习技术,或用于为CNN等空间功能提取而开发的,用于建模系统动力学,以占主导的问题。这些模型将输入作为从PDE获得的连续时间步长的一系列高保真矢量解,并预测了使用自动回归的后续时间步骤的解决方案;从而减少获得此类高保真解决方案所需的计算时间和功率。这些模型经过数值基准测试(1D汉堡的方程式和Stoker's Dam Break问题),以评估长期预测准确性,甚至在训练域之外(推断)。在向预测模型输入之前,使用非侵入性的降低订购建模技术(例如深度自动编码器网络)来压缩高保真快照,以减少在线和离线阶段的复杂性和所需的计算。深层合奏被用来对预测模型进行不确定性量化,该模型提供了有关认知不确定性导致预测方差的信息。
Physical systems whose dynamics are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) find applications in numerous fields, from engineering design to weather forecasting. The process of obtaining the solution from such PDEs may be computationally expensive for large-scale and parameterized problems. In this work, deep learning techniques developed especially for time-series forecasts, such as LSTM and TCN, or for spatial-feature extraction such as CNN, are employed to model the system dynamics for advection dominated problems. These models take as input a sequence of high-fidelity vector solutions for consecutive time-steps obtained from the PDEs and forecast the solutions for the subsequent time-steps using auto-regression; thereby reducing the computation time and power needed to obtain such high-fidelity solutions. The models are tested on numerical benchmarks (1D Burgers' equation and Stoker's dam break problem) to assess the long-term prediction accuracy, even outside the training domain (extrapolation). Non-intrusive reduced-order modelling techniques such as deep auto-encoder networks are utilized to compress the high-fidelity snapshots before feeding them as input to the forecasting models in order to reduce the complexity and the required computations in the online and offline stages. Deep ensembles are employed to perform uncertainty quantification of the forecasting models, which provides information about the variance of the predictions as a result of the epistemic uncertainties.