论文标题

统计中可重复性的发挥状态:经验​​分析

The state of play of reproducibility in Statistics: an empirical analysis

论文作者

Xiong, Xin, Cribben, Ivor

论文摘要

可重复性,可以使用其计算机代码和数据重现已发表论文或研究结果的能力,是可靠的科学方法的基石。科学界无法再现结果的研究应谨慎对待。在过去的十年中,在\ textit {nature}和\ textit {science}和诸如\ textit {the Crancamist}等国际杂志等广泛的科学期刊中,经常强调可重复研究的重要性。但是,多项研究表明,在心理学和医学等研究领域,科学结果通常无法再现。统计学,与开发和研究用于收集,分析,解释和呈现经验数据的方法有关的科学,以共享计算机代码和数据的开放性而自豪。在本文中,我们通过尝试在2010 - 2021年期间利用功能性磁共振成像(fMRI)数据来重现93篇发表论文中的结果,以研究统计领域的可重复性。总体而言,从计算机代码和数据的角度来看,在所有93篇研究的论文中,我们只能在14(15.1%)论文中重现结果,也就是说,这些论文同时提供了可执行的计算机代码(或软件),并使用真实的fMRI数据,我们的结果与论文中的结果相匹配。最后,我们最终提出了一些特定于期刊的建议,以提高统计的研究可重复性。

Reproducibility, the ability to reproduce the results of published papers or studies using their computer code and data, is a cornerstone of reliable scientific methodology. Studies where results cannot be reproduced by the scientific community should be treated with caution. Over the past decade, the importance of reproducible research has been frequently stressed in a wide range of scientific journals such as \textit{Nature} and \textit{Science} and international magazines such as \textit{The Economist}. However, multiple studies have demonstrated that scientific results are often not reproducible across research areas such as psychology and medicine. Statistics, the science concerned with developing and studying methods for collecting, analyzing, interpreting and presenting empirical data, prides itself on its openness when it comes to sharing both computer code and data. In this paper, we examine reproducibility in the field of statistics by attempting to reproduce the results in 93 published papers in prominent journals utilizing functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data during the 2010-2021 period. Overall, from both the computer code and the data perspective, among all the 93 examined papers, we could only reproduce the results in 14 (15.1%) papers, that is, the papers provide both executable computer code (or software) with the real fMRI data, and our results matched the results in the paper. Finally, we conclude with some author-specific and journal-specific recommendations to improve the research reproducibility in statistics.

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