论文标题
学会从数据作为世界代理的数据模拟现实的限制订单簿市场
Learning to simulate realistic limit order book markets from data as a World Agent
论文作者
论文摘要
多代理市场模拟器通常需要仔细校准才能模拟真实市场,其中包括数量和代理类型。经过校准的模拟器不佳会导致误导性结论,在被投资银行,对冲基金和商人雇用时可能造成严重损失,以研究和评估交易策略。在本文中,我们提出了一个世界模型模拟器,该模拟器可以准确地模拟限制订单簿市场 - 它不需要代理校准,而是直接从历史数据中学习了模拟的市场行为。传统方法未能学习和校准交易者人口,因为历史标记的数据具有有关每种交易者策略的详细信息,因此无法公开使用。我们的方法建议从历史数据中学习独特的“世界”代理。它旨在效仿总体交易者人口,而无需对个人市场代理策略做出假设。我们将世界代理模拟器模型作为条件生成对抗网络(CGAN)以及参数分布的混合物实施,我们将模型与以前的工作进行了比较。从定性和定量上讲,我们表明所提出的方法始终优于先前的工作,提供了更多的现实主义和响应能力。
Multi-agent market simulators usually require careful calibration to emulate real markets, which includes the number and the type of agents. Poorly calibrated simulators can lead to misleading conclusions, potentially causing severe loss when employed by investment banks, hedge funds, and traders to study and evaluate trading strategies. In this paper, we propose a world model simulator that accurately emulates a limit order book market -- it requires no agent calibration but rather learns the simulated market behavior directly from historical data. Traditional approaches fail short to learn and calibrate trader population, as historical labeled data with details on each individual trader strategy is not publicly available. Our approach proposes to learn a unique "world" agent from historical data. It is intended to emulate the overall trader population, without the need of making assumptions about individual market agent strategies. We implement our world agent simulator models as a Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (CGAN), as well as a mixture of parametric distributions, and we compare our models against previous work. Qualitatively and quantitatively, we show that the proposed approaches consistently outperform previous work, providing more realism and responsiveness.