论文标题

预测道德决策和道路计划的自动驾驶汽车碰撞严重程度

Predicting Autonomous Vehicle Collision Injury Severity Levels for Ethical Decision Making and Path Planning

论文作者

Pickering, James E., Burnham, Keith J.

论文摘要

自动驾驶汽车(AV)的发展正在迅速发展,未来20年将成为我们社会的核心部分。但是,尤其是在部署的早期阶段,预计将发生涉及AV的事件。如果发生AV事件,则需要做出需要道德决定的决定,例如,在碰撞到一群行人或严格的障碍之间。为了进行AV进行此类道德决策和路径计划,将需要实时使用AV的情况进行模拟模型。这些模型将基于预定的碰撞严重程度水平来实现路径计划和道德决策。在这项研究中,开发了模型,用于计划和道德决策制定,以确定可能的碰撞损伤严重性,即AV碰撞到刚性屏障或AV碰撞撞击行人的峰值速度的峰值变形。基于这种知识和使用模糊逻辑,开发了一种新型的非线性加权效用成本函数,用于碰撞损伤严重程度。这允许通过具有共同结构的加权效用成本函数分别检查基于模型的预测碰撞结果和AV峰值变形和AV-Pedestrian冲击速度。加权实用程序成本函数的一般形式利用了模糊集的方法,从而使两个单独的公用事业成本函数的共同实用性成本有意义地比较。利用一种实用的道德方法,一种决策算法可确保AV始终将其转向代表最低伤害严重程度的道路,从而使社会效用。

Developments in autonomous vehicles (AVs) are rapidly advancing and will in the next 20 years become a central part to our society. However, especially in the early stages of deployment, there is expected to be incidents involving AVs. In the event of AV incidents, decisions will need to be made that require ethical decisions, e.g., deciding between colliding into a group of pedestrians or a rigid barrier. For an AV to undertake such ethical decision making and path planning, simulation models of the situation will be required that are used in real-time on-board the AV. These models will enable path planning and ethical decision making to be undertaken based on predetermined collision injury severity levels. In this research, models are developed for the path planning and ethical decision making that predetermine knowledge regarding the possible collision injury severities, i.e., peak deformation of the AV colliding into the rigid barrier or the impact velocity of the AV colliding into a pedestrian. Based on such knowledge and using fuzzy logic, a novel nonlinear weighted utility cost function for the collision injury severity levels is developed. This allows the model-based predicted collision outcomes arising from AV peak deformation and AV-pedestrian impact velocity to be examined separately via weighted utility cost functions with a common structure. The general form of the weighted utility cost function exploits a fuzzy sets approach, thus allowing common utility costs from the two separate utility cost functions to be meaningfully compared. A decision-making algorithm, which makes use of a utilitarian ethical approach, ensures that the AV will always steer onto the path which represents the lowest injury severity level, hence utility cost to society.

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